The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a New Section: On Robustness and Fragility

Examines the role of the unexpected--the Black Swan--in both life and human history, explaining how the phenomenon and its applications affect every aspect of the world in which we live, why humans are unable to anticipate a Black Swan, and how we rationalize the phenomenon to make it appear less random. 50,000 first printing.