Political Analysis

Political Analysis is an annual publication sponsored by the methodology section of the American Political Science Association. Now in its seventh year, the annual publishes scholarly articles on topics related to all areas of political science methodology, broadly defined. Methodology includes research design, measurement and measurement theory, estimation, statistical inference, simulation, mathematical modeling, and other topics. This volume joins its predecessors as a publication of great value in disseminating new methodological research. Walter R. Mebane, Jr., is Associate Professor of Government, Cornell University. Contents An Empirical Spatial Model of Congressional Campaigns, Nolan McCarthy and Keith T. Poole The Rising Hazards of Party Incumbency: A Discrete Renewal Analysis, Tse-min Lin and Montserrat Guillen Recent Developments in Dynamic Econometric Modeling: A Personal Viewpoint, G. S. Maddala Unified Models of Turnout and Vote Choice for Two-Candidate and Three-Candidate Elections, Mitchell S. Sanders Timing of Vote Decisions in First and Second Order Dutch Elections 19781995: Evidence from Artificial Neural Networks, Rob Eisinga, Philip Hans Franses, and Dick van Dijk If the Assumption fits . . . A Comment on the King Ecological Inference Solution, Wendy K. Tam Cho Measurement Models for Time Series Analysis: Estimating Dynamic Linear Errors-in-Variables Models, Gregory E. McAvoy Genetic Optimization Using Derivatives, Jasjeet S. Sekhon and Walter R. Mebane, Jr.