Phase Zero Insurgency Assessments

This monograph studies the question of how military planners should assess insurgencies prior to the commitment to major military operations. Itreviews three assessment methodologies - the Interagency Conflict Assessment Framework, the Guide for the Analysis of Insurgency, and theAnny Design Methodology - and then employs each tool against a set of three insurgent case studies. Finally, the study draws conclusions about theapplicability of each approach to the basic question, and recommends that when time permits, a specific blended approach should be used.