Estimating the Job Creation Impact of Development Assistance

This publication shares the findings of a study to identify better ways of estimating the impact of development assistance on job creation. The study used input-output and computable general equilibrium models to develop a customized approach to improve the fit and predictiveness of jobs impact assessments. It used 2010-2019 data on Asian Development Bank operations in Fiji, Indonesia, and Thailand. The findings suggest that simpler input-output models may best suit projects that support substantial local purchases of non-construction capital goods and services. More comprehensive and data-intensive computable general equilibrium models can help capture the broad impact of programmatic policy support and large-scale projects.