Sökt på: philip tetlock
totalt 17 träffar
Superforecasting
Tetlock's latest project â?? an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions â?? has since shown that there are, however, …
Superforecasting
The international bestseller'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.' Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow_________________________What if we …
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER - NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST "The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and …
Unmaking the West
What if the Persians had won at Salamis? What if Christ had not been crucified? What if the Chinese had harnessed steam power before the West? Disparaged by some as a mere parlor …
Joosr Guide to... Superforecasting by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner
In today's fast-paced world, it's tough to find the time to read. But with Joosr guides, you can get the key insights from bestselling non-fiction titles in less than 20 minutes. …
Superprognoze
Cu to?ii am avea de câ?tigat daca am putea vedea în viitor, fie ca este vorba de bursa, de politica, de lansarea unor produse sau, pur si simplu, de planificarea unui meniu …
Konsten att förutsäga framtiden : en bok om superprognostik
Alla gör vi förutsägelser, i stort och i smått. Om världshändelser, om vem som vinner val eller fotbollsmatcher, om samhällsekonomi och privatekonomi, om vad som kommer att ske på …
Expert Political Judgment
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on …
Superennustajat
Jokainen hyötyisi tulevaisuuteen katsomisesta, jos osaisimme tehdä sen oikein. Osaisimme ostaa osakkeita, juonia politiikassa, lanseerata uusia tuotteita tai yksinkertaisesti …
HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)
Is your business playing it safe—or taking the right risks?If you read nothing else on managing risk, read these 10 articles. We've combed through hundreds of Harvard Business …
The Clash of Rights
Why do citizens in pluralist democracies disagree collectively about the very values they agree on individually? This provocative book highlights the inescapable conflicts of …
Superforecasting – Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose
Der Psychologe und Politikwissenschaftler Philip Tetlock gibt in seinem leichtverständlichen Wissenschafts-Sachbuch ›Superforecasting. Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose‹ eine …