Sökt på: Böcker av Philip E. Tetlock
totalt 12 träffar
Konsten att förutsäga framtiden : en bok om superprognostik
Alla gör vi förutsägelser, i stort och i smått. Om världshändelser, om vem som vinner val eller fotbollsmatcher, om samhällsekonomi och privatekonomi, om vad som kommer att ske på …
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER - NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST "The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and …
Expert Political Judgment
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on …
HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "e;Managing 21st-Century Political Risk"e; by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)
Is your business playing it safe—or taking the right risks?If you read nothing else on managing risk, read these 10 articles. We've combed through hundreds of Harvard Business …
Superennustajat
Jokainen hyötyisi tulevaisuuteen katsomisesta, jos osaisimme tehdä sen oikein. Osaisimme ostaa osakkeita, juonia politiikassa, lanseerata uusia tuotteita tai yksinkertaisesti …
HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)
Is your business playing it safe—or taking the right risks?If you read nothing else on managing risk, read these 10 articles. We've combed through hundreds of Harvard Business …
The Clash of Rights
Why do citizens in pluralist democracies disagree collectively about the very values they agree on individually? This provocative book highlights the inescapable conflicts of …
Superforecasting – Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose
Der Psychologe und Politikwissenschaftler Philip Tetlock gibt in seinem leichtverständlichen Wissenschafts-Sachbuch ›Superforecasting. Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose‹ eine …
Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics
Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had …
Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics
Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had …
Expert Political Judgment
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on …
Prejudice, Politics, and the American Dilemma
A Stanford University Press classic.