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Managing Risk in USAF Force Planning
Presents a risk-management process would help senior Air Force leaders to (1) focus planning on the most salient threats, (2) gain greater clarity on the risks associated with …

The U.S.-China Military Scorecard
A RAND study analyzed Chinese and U.S. military capabilities in two scenarios (Taiwan and the Spratly Islands) from 1996 to 2017, finding that trends in most, but not all, areas …

Crisis Stability and Long-Range Strike
To effectively manage an international crisis, the United States must balance its threats with restraint. It must posture forces in ways that deter aggression without implying that …

China's Evolving Nuclear Deterrent
China's approach to nuclear deterrence has been broadly consistent since its first test in 1964, but it has recently accelerated nuclear force modernization. China's strategic …

Deterrence and First-Strike Stability in Space
Space stability appears to be eroding as a growing number of states acquire the ability to degrade or destroy U.S. space assets. The United States needs a coordinated national …

The Foundations of Operational Resilienceassessing the Ability to Operate in an Anti-Access/Area Denial (A2/Ad) Environment
This report describes a modeling framework and lexicon for conducting a detailed analysis of future Air Force operational resilience in an anti-access/area denial (A2/AD) …

Dangerous Thresholds
Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition, and today's security environment demands that the United States be prepared for a host of escalatory threats. …

The U.S. Military Response to the 2010 Haiti Earthquake
This report examines how Joint Task Force Haiti (JTF-Haiti) supported the humanitarian assistance and disaster relief efforts in Haiti. It focuses on how JTF-Haiti was organized, …

Confronting Emergent Nuclear-Armed Regional Adversaries
This report discusses the challenges associated with potential confrontations between the United States and hostile states with small nuclear arsenals. It examines prospects for …