Modeling and Measuring the Effects of Economic Shocks on a Defense Industrial Base

The purpose of this report is to assist Department of Defense decisionmakers called upon to respond to adverse economic shocks by identifying opportunities for improving analysis of shocks and their effects on U.S. defense postures. The authors examined historical and hypothetical instances in which shocks threatened or would threaten defense postures to identify the types of questions that an analytic capability might be able to answer.