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Managing the sovereign-bank nexus
The financial health of banks and sovereigns is intertwined in a "sovereign-bank nexus" that may multiply and accelerate vulnerabilities in each sector, and lead to adverse …
Trade tensions, global value chains, and spillovers
Europe is deeply integrated into global value chains, and recent trade tensions raise the question of how European economies would be affected by the introduction of tariffs or …
Growing pains
This paper estimates the fiscal costs of population aging in Latin America and provides policy recommendations on reforms needed to make these costs manageable. Although Latin …
Frontiers of economic policy communications
The paper provides an overall view of communications across various areas of economic policy, aiming to help country authorities as they increasingly use communications as a policy …
The promise of Fintech
Technology is changing the landscape of the financial sector, increasing access to financial services in profound ways. These changes have been in motion for several years, …
Stress testing at the IMF
This paper explains specifics of stress testing at the IMF. After a brief section on the evolution of stress tests at the IMF, the paper presents the key steps of an IMF staff …
Reassessing the role of state-owned enterprises in central, eastern, and southeastern Europe
The Central, Eastern, and South Eastern European (CESEE) region is ripe for a reassessment of the role of the state in economic activity. The rapid income convergence with Western …
The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region
The oil market is undergoing fundamental change. New technologies are increasing the supply of oil from old and new sources, while rising concerns over the environment are seeing …
FinTech in Sub-Saharan African countries
FinTech is a major force shaping the structure of the financial industry in sub-Saharan Africa. New technologies are being developed and implemented in sub-Saharan Africa with the …
Demographic headwinds in central and eastern Europe
The populations of Central and Eastern European (CESEE) countries - with the exception of Turkey–are expected to decrease significantly over the next 30 years, driven by low or …