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Expert Political Judgment
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on …
Superprognoze
Cu to?ii am avea de câ?tigat daca am putea vedea în viitor, fie ca este vorba de bursa, de politica, de lansarea unor produse sau, pur si simplu, de planificarea unui meniu …
HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "e;Managing 21st-Century Political Risk"e; by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)
Is your business playing it safe—or taking the right risks?If you read nothing else on managing risk, read these 10 articles. We've combed through hundreds of Harvard Business …
Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics
Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had …