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totalt 22 träffar
Empire of Chance
The Empire of Chance tells how quantitative ideas of chance transformed the natural and social sciences, as well as daily life over the last three centuries. A continuous narrative …
Das Einmaleins der Skepsis
Das provokative Buch eines der renommiertesten deutschen Psychologen ermutigt zur Skepsis gegenüber vermeintlich absoluten Wahrheiten. »Mit seiner Studie über den richtigen Umgang …
Simply Rational
Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and …
Risk Savvy
A fascinating, practical guide to making better decisions with our money, health and personal lives from Gerd Gigerenzer, the author of Reckoning with Risk.Risk-taking is essential …
Classification in the Wild
Rules for building formal models that use fast-and-frugal heuristics, extending the psychological study of classification to the real world of uncertainty.This book focuses on …
Experts in Science and Society
In today's complex world, we have come to rely increasingly on those who have expertise in specific areas and can bring their knowledge to bear on crucial social, political and …
Reckoning with Risk
"e;This is an important book, full of relevant examples and worrying case histories. By the end of it, the reader has been presented with a powerful set of tools for …
Ecological Rationality
"e;More information is always better, and full information is best. More computation is always better, and optimization is best."e; More-is-better ideals such as these have …
Cognition as Intuitive Statistics
Originally published in 1987, this title is about theory construction in psychology. Where theories come from, as opposed to how they become established, was almost a no-man's land …
Smart Management : How Simple Heuristics Help Leaders Make Good Decisions in an Uncertain World
Why successful leaders must embrace simple strategies in an increasingly uncertain and complex world.Making decisions is one of the key tasks of managers, leaders, and …
Simple Heuristics that Make Us Smart
Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart invites readers to embark on a new journey into a land of rationality that differs from the familiar territory of cognitive science and …